3

Mindyourheadmike

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Galway · Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proved a different proposition when dominating a Clonmel bumper on second Rules start in mid-May. Subsequently sold out of the Terence O'Brien stable for £42,000 and this will take a lot more winning.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 18/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f30y Yie 16618/04C?C0 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m159y Goo 16814/05C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-14Clonmel?1st1st0
2026-04-18Bellewstown?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0414/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/202610th20/10%36%+0.36
14/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53