6

Gokita

2yo Filly · 8-12

Le Lion D'angers · Prix Du Secours Populaire 49 (prix Premiere Chance) Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12412/05C53 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS3/063C5 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12418/07C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Dieppe?10th10th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch35th3rd+2
2026-05-12Chantilly?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/053/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
03/06/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
18/07/202610th28/10%25%+0.25