5
Olympique
2yo Filly · 8-12
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Du Secours Populaire 49 (prix Premiere Chance) Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength47%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cholet | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength99%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |