8
Filigrane
3yo Filly · 8-10
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Galorama (prix Paul Saulou) Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 04/02/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |