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3yo Gelding · 8-13
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Galorama (prix Paul Saulou) Stakes · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-02-17 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/12/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 29/01/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 17/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |