6
Nepeta
3yo Filly · 8-10
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Galorama (prix Paul Saulou) Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-07-28 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-07-09 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 28/07/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 09/10/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |