3
Quemazal
3yo Colt · 8-13
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Galorama (prix Paul Saulou) Stakes · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Chantilly | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-12-02 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 02/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 29/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 21/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |