5
By Far
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pornichet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 28/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 18/02/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.86 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |