11
Hamilton Desjy
7yo Gelding · 8-10
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Le Mans | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 77% | -0.06 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/03/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 21% | -0.34 |
| 13/03/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |