9
Joliepierre
7yo Mare · 8-11
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-07-23 | Chateaubriant | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 07/01/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 08/06/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 23/07/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 54% | -0.15 |
| 03/08/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 9% | -0.49 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |