1
Kamakura One
5yo Filly · 9-6
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#14
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength38%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.27 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 15/12/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 18/02/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |