10
Keen Lady
4yo Filly · 8-11
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#12
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 91% | -0.03 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 92% | +0.00 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |