2
Nice Ruler
5yo Gelding · 9-3
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 23/01/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |