16
Sauviac
5yo Gelding · 8-7
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Angers | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 16
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength19%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/02/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 15/03/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 13/04/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 01/05/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 18/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 11/09/2025 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |