8
Watt Ohm
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Ouest Boissons (prix Sea Bird) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 85% | -0.02 |
| 25/02/2026 | 10th | 15/8 | 90% | 36% | -0.54 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 85% | +0.02 |