9
And We Danced
7yo Mare · 8-13
Le Lion D'angers · Prix La Pomme De Pin - Restaurant-traiteur (prix D'andigne) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 08/01/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 09/04/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 8% | -0.48 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |
| 21/07/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |