13
L'Ennemi
5yo Gelding · 8-4
Le Lion D'angers · Prix La Pomme De Pin - Restaurant-traiteur (prix D'andigne) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#12
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Deauville | BHA65 | 14th | 17th | −3 |
| 2025-12-15 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 30% | -0.56 |
| 15/12/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 30/12/2025 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 05/06/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/06/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |