8
Moon Night
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Le Lion D'angers · Prix La Pomme De Pin - Restaurant-traiteur (prix D'andigne) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Nantes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/07/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 20/04/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/05/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |