14

Sunbeam

10yo Gelding · 8-4

Le Lion D'angers · Prix La Pomme De Pin - Restaurant-traiteur (prix D'andigne) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 26/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f91y GS 12426/07C?C0 @ Deauville 07/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 144C0 @ Chateaubriant 21/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 12121/08C?C0 @ Craon 28/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 145C0 @ Clairefontaine 21/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f91y Sft 14321/10C?C0 @ Deauville 25/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 128C0 @ Deauville 22/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12422/12C?4 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Hvy 1194 @ Chateaubriant 21/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 11421/074projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Chateaubriant49th9th0
2026-03-13Senonnes-Pouance412th12th0
2025-12-22Deauville?9th9th0
2025-11-25Deauville?10th10th0
2025-10-21Clairefontaine?13th13th0
2025-09-28Craon?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0728/0922/1221/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20259th17/255%38%-0.17
07/08/202512th12/137%15%-0.21
21/08/20256th14/126%62%+0.35
28/09/20258th10/147%42%-0.06
21/10/202513th66/10%8%+0.08
25/11/202510th28/10%40%+0.40
22/12/20259th14/126%47%+0.20
13/03/202612th20/10%27%+0.27
21/07/20269th33/10%43%+0.43