13
Arown
6yo Horse · 8-12
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Le Mans | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Argentan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 14/08/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 08/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.12 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |