5
Feelingnuit
4yo Filly · 9-4
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Amiens | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 23/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |