11
Imparator
4yo Gelding · 8-13
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-12-01 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 02/07/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 53% | -0.35 |
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 01/12/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 29/05/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |