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Katie Light

4yo Filly · 9-1

Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#14

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pornichet 22/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12022/11C5C0 @ Pornichet 19/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 129C5 @ Machecoul 10/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f149y Hvy 12310/02C5C5 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 124C5 @ Pornichet 25/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12325/03C54 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 130C0 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12922/04C?4 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1284 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1202/074projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance412th12th0
2026-06-05Le Lion D'angers44th4th0
2026-04-22Chantilly?11th11th0
2026-04-05Le Lion D'angers46th6th0
2026-03-25Pornichet?6th7th−1
2026-02-27Pornichet?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1127/0222/042/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 15
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/11/20253rd4/179%78%-0.01
19/12/20252nd5/287%90%+0.03
10/02/20265th8/158%64%+0.06
27/02/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
25/03/20266th11/486%55%-0.31
05/04/20266th11/142%55%+0.12
22/04/202611th18/15%23%+0.18
05/06/20264th9/153%80%+0.27
02/07/202612th11/271%8%-0.63