Kupka
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 36% | -0.52 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 12/07/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |