6
La Pelemoise
7yo Mare · 9-3
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Nantes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 28/09/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/10/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 29/05/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |