Shalaa Dancer
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 03/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 15/01/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/02/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |