Wardama
8yo Mare · 9-5
Le Lion D'angers · Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (prix Etienne Frachon) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 21% | -0.55 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 10/05/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |