4

Creativer

4yo Colt · 8-11

Le Lion D'angers · Prix De La Compagnie Equestre Icario (prix Vallees Du Haut Anjou) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1232/0422 @ Dieppe 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 12316/0523 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13018/0632 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f91y GS 12311/072projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Clairefontaine25th5th0
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp37th8th1
2026-05-16Dieppe27th7th0
2026-04-02Chantilly29th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0416/0518/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/04/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
16/05/20267th80/10%33%+0.33
18/06/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
11/07/20265th33/10%33%+0.33