3
Step Morning
8yo Gelding · 8-11
Le Lion D'angers · Prix De La Compagnie Equestre Icario (prix Vallees Du Haut Anjou) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-10-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 16/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 23/07/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |