Gaborone
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 62
Monmouth Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |