2
It's The Stones
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 65
Monmouth Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |