5

Law Of Uncertainty

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Monmouth Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Monmouth Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m70y 11916/05C9C9 @ Monmouth Park 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 11911/07C9
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Monmouth Park?6th6th0
2026-05-16Monmouth Park?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20268th20/10%0%0.00
11/07/20266th14/126%0%-0.26