7

Ur Honey
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 47
Monmouth Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 18/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |