6
Liam's Diva
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Monmouth Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |