Dale's Bluff
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 84
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.52 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |