5
Gold Stamp
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 79
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 23/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |