Lady D'oro
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 75
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Pimlico | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/08/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 05/10/2024 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 24/10/2024 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 06/07/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |