2
Postino's Prophecy
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 76
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Meadowlands | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Meadowlands | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/08/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |