Fussy Girl
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 72
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/02/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 13/06/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |