Leftover Sushi
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 75
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2024-11-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2024-08-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 03/09/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 22/10/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 07/11/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |