Rogue Justice
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 71
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |