4

Winkiwinki

7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 61

Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 30/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/03/2025 · OR 84 par30/03C6OR 84C6 @ Monmouth Park 17/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2025 · OR 88 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 22/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/06/2025 · OR 87 par22/06C6OR 87C6 @ Monmouth Park 10/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 88 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 85 par31/08C6OR 85C8 @ Monmouth Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 62 par13/06C6OR 62C8 @ Monmouth Park 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 58 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 63 · 1m Fas 121 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 63 par17/07C8OR 63projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Monmouth Park?1st1st0
2026-06-26Monmouth Park?3rd3rd0
2026-06-13Monmouth Park?6th4th+2
2026-05-23Monmouth Park?3rd3rd0
2025-08-31Monmouth Park?4th2nd+2
2025-08-10Monmouth Park?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0310/0813/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength76%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20253rd7/282%50%-0.32
17/05/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
22/06/20253rd6/492%67%-0.25
10/08/20253rd6/594%60%-0.34
31/08/20254th13/266%57%-0.09
23/05/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26
13/06/20266th40/10%17%+0.17
26/06/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
17/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24