7
Legendary Thunder
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 69
Monmouth Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Meadowlands | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Meadowlands | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 25/08/2024 | 9th | 6/5 | 94% | 20% | -0.74 |
| 08/09/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 05/10/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 07/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/09/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |