Cupid's Dude
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 82
Monmouth Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |