Greyhound Station
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 46
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-26 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2024-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-03-08 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-01-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2023 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 06/01/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 27/01/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 08/03/2024 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 19/04/2024 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 17/05/2024 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |