5

She Dazzle

8yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 61

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Louisiana Downs 23/07/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 74 · 6f110y Slo 122 · below its mark23/07/2024 · OR 74 par23/07C8OR 74C8 @ Mountaineer 27/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark27/08/2024 · OR 72 parC8 @ Mountaineer 16/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark16/09/2024 · OR 69 par16/09C8OR 69C8 @ Mountaineer 15/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark15/10/2024 · OR 72 parC8 @ Mountaineer 12/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f Gd 123 · below its mark12/11/2024 · OR 69 par12/11C8OR 69C8 @ Mountaineer 20/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark20/07/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Mountaineer 19/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark19/08/2025 · OR 71 par19/08C8OR 71C8 @ Mountaineer 02/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 63 · 5f Fm 123 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 63 parC8 @ Mountaineer 22/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 65 par22/09C8OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-22Mountaineer?6th6th0
2025-09-02Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2025-08-19Mountaineer?5th5th0
2025-07-20Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2024-11-12Mountaineer?5th5th0
2024-10-15Mountaineer?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0715/1019/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20248th9/276%22%-0.54
27/08/20245th11/271%33%-0.38
16/09/20241st11/486%100%+0.14
15/10/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
12/11/20245th10/147%56%+0.08
20/07/20252nd9/276%75%-0.01
19/08/20255th12/137%20%-0.17
02/09/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
22/09/20256th20/10%0%0.00