1
Bazoo
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |