Kiltoom
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 1/2 | 97% | 40% | -0.57 |
| 11/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 08/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |