3
Parade Of Fears
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 17/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |