10
Winging Ways
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 68
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |